Real Madrid vs Malaga

La Liga, Spain · 2026-08-30 · 17:00 CET

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4 : 0

full-time · HT 3:0

xG 2.41 – 0.62 · H 1.08 · X 12.02 · A 26.10

LDL

Scoreline probabilities

2:015.8%

1:013.1%

3:012.7%

2:19.8%

3:17.9%

4:07.6%

Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.

First goal · head-to-head

0–1515–3030–4545–6060–7575–90

Real Madrid (30)Malaga (3)

2026-08-30 · Real Madrid – Malaga4:0

Averaged bookmaker prices: home 1.08, draw 12.02, away 26.10; Over 2.5 1.23, Under 2.5 4.04; HT Over 1.5 1.72, HT Under 1.5 2.08.

How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.