Super League Women title race 2026/27: who will win the league?
Belgium · Rest of the season simulated 10,000 times · updated 24 Oct 2026
Most likely to win the league: RSC Anderlecht W (62%), Leuven W (27%), Club Brugge W (10%). 47 points were enough in 90% of 10,000 simulations.
enough to win the league in half the simulated seasons
enough to win the league in nine seasons out of ten
Champions chances, club by club
| Club | P | Pts | Proj. pts | Champions | Needs (90% line) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSC Anderlecht W | 6 | 15 | 4640–51 | 62% | 32 from 15 (2.13/game) |
| Leuven W | 6 | 9 | 4236–47 | 27% | 38 from 15 (2.53/game) |
| Club Brugge W | 6 | 14 | 3933–45 | 10% | 33 from 15 (2.20/game) |
Below 1%: St. Liege W, Genk W, RAAL La Louviere W, Waregem W, Gent W.
What does each club need?
Pick a club and test how many points from its remaining games are needed to win the league.
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How these chances are made
A Dixon-Coles model rates every club's attack and defence from the league's results, then the 60 remaining scheduled fixtures are played out 10,000 times. A club's chance is the share of those seasons in which it finishes first. The points line is what the club finishing 2nd ended on in each run; ties on points count as a coin flip (goal difference decides them). Point deductions, head-to-head rules and play-offs are not modelled. A statistical projection, not a tip.
The model's match probabilities are scored in public on the calibration record. Free to republish with credit and a link (CC BY 4.0).